A new poll by Suffolk University shows Democratic candidates for statewide offices in Connecticut stemming the tide of any predicted Republican tidal wave in the upcoming midterm elections which are now just 11 days away. The poll surveyed 500 likely voters and was conducted by live callers are opposed to the automated calls used by FOX News and polls commissioned by CTCapitolReport and others. Quinnipiac University polls are also conducted live.
In the race for governor, Democrat Dan Malloy whips Republican Tom Foley 49 – 38 percent. Malloy benefits from the cross-endorsement votes from the Democratic and Working Families Party nominee. As the Democratic nominee, Malloy only led Foley by 7 points.
Democratic candidate for U.S. Senate Richard Blumenthal has opened up an 18-point lead over Republican candidate Linda McMahon (57 – 39 percent). Blumenthal is also listed twice on the ballot. Blumenthal was the choice of 54 percent as the Democratic nominee and 3 percent as the Working Families Party nominee.
“It doesn’t appear that voter fusion will cause too much confusion in Connecticut on election day,” said David Paleologos, director of the Political Research Center at Boston’s Suffolk University. “Blumenthal, at this point, doesn’t even need the Working Families Party votes to secure a win – he just needs McMahon to continue her negative ad campaign, as voters have viewed McMahon’s campaign as the more negative between the two.”
When asked who has run a more negative campaign in the U.S. Senate race, 62 percent of likely voters said McMahon, while only 20 percent said Blumenthal, and 18 percent were undecided. And, when asked specifically about McMahon’s ads stating Blumenthal lied about serving in Vietnam, 33 percent of likely voters said it made no difference as to who they would vote for on Nov. 2, 30 percent said it made them more likely to vote for Blumenthal, 25 percent said McMahon, 5 percent stated it made them more likely to vote for another candidate, and 6 percent of likely voters remain undecided on the issue.
In the races for the Constitutional offices of secretary of state, treasurer, comptroller, and attorney general, all Democrats lead their respective Republican opponents. For secretary of state Democrat Denise Merrill leads Republican Jerry Farrell 32 – 22 percent, Democrat Denise Nappier leads Newington Mayor Jeff Wright 43 – 20 percent for treasurer, and Democrat Kevin Lembo leads Jack Orchulli 33 – 16 percent in the race for comptroller and finally, in the attorney general race, Democrat George Jepsen leads Republican Martha Dean 40 – 28 percent. All of the races have a high percentage of undecided voters so the numbers can very likely change.