Connecticut Attorney General Richard Blumenthal has said all along that he would run his race for the US Senate “as if he was the underdog,” That looks like even more of a smart approach after Republican Scott Brown upset Democratic Attorney General Martha Coakley this week in Massachusetts.
The biggest similarity between the two races is the size of the lead held by the favorite. Coakley lead Brown by more than 30-points just more than a month ago. In the latest polls here, Blumenthal had similar leads over Republican contenders Rob Simmons, Linda McMahon and Peter Schiff. Additionally, winners will replace Democratic legends: Ted Kennedy in Massachusetts and Chris Dodd here in the Nutmeg State.
Of course, the Connecticut race cannot be spun as a referendum on the health reform efforts of President Barak Obama. Yet Blumenthal’s potential Republican opponent, Rob Simmons is distributing a piece by Politico’s David Cantanese that somehow portrays Blumenthal as a “loser” in the “Winners and Losers” of the MA election.:
“As another Northeastern state attorney general with a big lead in the polls and an interest in replacing a longtime senator, Richard Blumenthal may want to call a campaign meeting Wednesday. Blumenthal, who became the Democratic Senate candidate in Connecticut when Sen. Chris Dodd abruptly announced his retirement, enjoys large polling advantages that would look insurmountable in a different environment.
With a big lead in the polls over Republican former Rep. Rob Simmons and World Wrestling Entertainment executive Linda McMahon, Coakley’s 30 point lead in December would probably be good campaign office wallpaper to serve as a motivational reminder.” The headline of this Shad explains exactly why Blumenthal will win.
In a preview of an issue that won’t go away anytime soon, candidates for governor weighed in on public financing of their campaign. Republican Tom Foley and Democrat Ned Lamont, both Greenwhich millionaires, oppose it although Lamont said he would participate if all the other candidates did. The rest of the field will embrace public financing (that it, if it is still law—but that needs a blog of its own).