Democratic gubernatorial candidate Dan Malloy is closing in on the magic 50-percent mark as he leads Republican Tom Foley 49 – 42 percent among likely voters, according to a Quinnipiac University poll released today. Foley’s numbers are unchanged from a September 29 Q-Poll showing Malloy with a 45 – 42 percent lead.

In this latest survey, 7 percent of likely voters are undecided and 20 percent of those who name a candidate say they might change their mind before Election Day. Malloy leads among Democrats 89 – 5 percent, while Foley wins 85 – 12 percent among Republicans and edges Malloy 46 – 42 percent among independent voters.
Men back Foley 49 – 44 percent while women back Malloy 55 – 35 percent.

“Tom Foley’s 42-percent share of the vote for Connecticut governor has not moved in two weeks. With less than three weeks to go, the Republican better start moving soon,” said Quinnipiac University Poll Director Douglas Schwartz, PhD. “Democrat Dan Malloy has moved ahead slightly and given himself some breathing room, but there are a lot of undecided voters and voters who could change their mind – and there are almost three weeks for them to decide. After the debates and the latest ads, both candidates are better known, but Malloy is better liked. Both candidates have been on the attack, yet interestingly neither candidate’s overall image has been damaged. As in the Senate race, the support of women for the Democrat is making the difference in the race,” Dr. Schwartz added.

By a 47 – 29 percent margin, Connecticut likely voters have a favorable opinion of Malloy, compared to 39 – 27 percent September 29. Foley gets a 41 – 33 percent favorability, compared to 34 – 25 percent two weeks ago.

A total of 86 percent of Connecticut likely voters say the state’s economy is “not so good” or “poor” and 28 percent say it is getting worse, while 14 percent say it is getting better and 56 percent say it is the same. Foley leads 57 – 33 percent among voters who say the economy is getting worse. Malloy leads 78 – 12 percent among likely voters who say the economy is getting better and 50 – 43 percent among those who say it is the same.

As her term winds down, Connecticut Gov. Jodi Rell still enjoys a 59 – 33 percent approval rating.